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Mercer at Arkansas
Tue Nov 9, 2021
8:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Mercer at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 19, Total Points: 150.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MER | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-12-1 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-4-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 9-8-1 | 5-11-0 |
Mercer Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Clark Atlanta | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Chicago St | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Alabama | +30.5 | L by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | TN State | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | W Michigan | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Georgia | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Alabama | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Georgia St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Thomas (GA) | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/29 | Home | Talladega | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | VMI | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Chattanooga | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Samford | +13.0 | L by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Citadel | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.5 | W by 6 | +17.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | E Tenn St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VMI | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Furman | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | W Carolina | +7.0 | L by 33 | -26.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Samford | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Citadel | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Chattanooga | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Furman | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Citadel | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Samford | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -19.0 | Open | -19.5 | High | -19.5 |
| Last | -18.5 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 538 games where the closing line favored the home team by 18 to 20 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 525 times (97.6%).
- The team like Mercer won the game 13 times (2.4%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 262-262-14 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4113 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 2016-2013-84 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -19.0 | -19.0 |
| Open | -19.0 | -19.0 | -19.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/09 06:19 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 05:50 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 11:50 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -19.0 |
| 11/08 04:24 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/08 03:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/08 02:44 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/08 02:26 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 02:01 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
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