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Baylor at Texas Tech
Sat Jan 16, 2021
4:00pm ET
Lubbock, TX
Baylor at Texas Tech: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 4, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | TTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-12-2 | 15-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 9-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 10-5-1 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 7-9-1 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
Texas Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -23.5 | W by 27 | +3.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | San Jose St | -16.0 | W by 14 | -2.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -24.5 | W by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Villanova | +3.5 | L by 16 | -12.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | N Iowa | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Butler | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Neb Omaha | -20.0 | W by 29 | +9.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Oral Roberts | -12.5 | W by 6 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | TX-Arlington | -13.0 | W by 11 | -2.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Sam Hous St | -16.5 | W by 36 | +19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 28 | +10.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Oklahoma St | -7.5 | W by 17 | +9.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Kansas St | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Houston | +13.0 | L by 23 | -10.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | BYU | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oklahoma | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | TX Christian | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Cincinnati | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Baylor | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | UCF | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Kansas | -3.5 | W by 29 | +25.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa St | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | TX Christian | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCF | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Texas | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Oklahoma St | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | BYU | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Houston | +10.5 | L by 23 | -12.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | NC State | -5.0 | L by 13 | -18.0 |
| BAY -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1835 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1109 times (60.4%).
- The team like Texas Tech won the game 726 times (39.6%).
- The team like Texas Tech did better against the spread, going 908-890-37 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 101 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 56-45 (55.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 03:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 03:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/16 02:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/16 01:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/16 12:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/16 11:47 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/16 11:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/16 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/16 10:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/16 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/16 08:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/16 08:29 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/16 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/16 08:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/16 08:08 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 06:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/16 06:29 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/16 12:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/15 08:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/15 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/15 07:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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