NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN UMASS
Points 73.9 73.9
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 15.9
Points From Free Throws 13.3 18.1
Shooting BRWN UMASS
Field Goals Made 26.8 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 57.4
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 24.3
Free Throw % 65.0% 74.3%
Ball Control BRWN UMASS
Rebounds 38.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.5
Turnovers 10.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 6.9 6.1
Fouls 16.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Mass Lowell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN UMASS
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 76.7 71.9
% of Possessions with BRWN UMASS
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 19.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 22.7%
Turnover 14.1% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN UMASS
Shot Blocked 7.6% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 29.9%