NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU SIU
Points 70.2 70.0
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 26.1
Points From Free Throws 14.6 13.4
Shooting MOSU SIU
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 59.4
Field Goal % 46.1% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 14.6 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 17.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 77.2%
Ball Control MOSU SIU
Rebounds 37.7 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.4
Turnovers 9.9 8.2
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.6
Steals 3.7 4.9
Fouls 14.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU SIU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 68.9
% of Possessions with MOSU SIU
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 33.8%
Player Fouled 23.8% 21.3%
Turnover 14.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU SIU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 22.7%