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Mercer at NC-Wilmgton
Mon Dec 16, 2019
7:00pm ET
Wilmington, NC
Mercer at NC-Wilmgton: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UNC Wilmington by 1.5, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MER | adv | UNCW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-12-1 | 13-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-1 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-4-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Away | 9-8-1 | 9-10-0 |
Mercer Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Clark Atlanta | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Chicago St | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Alabama | +30.5 | L by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | TN State | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | W Michigan | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Georgia | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Alabama | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Georgia St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Thomas (GA) | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/29 | Home | Talladega | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | VMI | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Chattanooga | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Samford | +13.0 | L by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Citadel | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.5 | W by 6 | +17.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | E Tenn St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VMI | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Furman | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | W Carolina | +7.0 | L by 33 | -26.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Samford | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Citadel | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Chattanooga | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Furman | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Citadel | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Samford | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
NC-Wilmgton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mount Olive | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | NC-Asheville | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Columbia International | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | App State | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | E Carolina | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | W by 7 | +25.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Montreat | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | GA Southern | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Marshall | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Drexel | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Towson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Monmouth | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Delaware | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Elon | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Col Charlestn | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Northeastrn | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Stony Brook | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Col Charlestn | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Campbell | -14.0 | W by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Drexel | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hampton | -12.5 | W by 30 | +17.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | NC A&T | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Elon | -16.5 | L by 1 | -17.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Wm & Mary | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Campbell | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hofstra | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Towson | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Towson | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| UNCW -1.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1908 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like NC-Wilmington won the game 1075 times (56.3%).
- The team like Mercer won the game 833 times (43.7%).
- The team like NC-Wilmington did better against the spread, going 948-925-35 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1657 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mercer did better against the spread, going 817-805-35 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Open | (Pick) | -1.5 | -1.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/16 06:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/16 05:44 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 03:52 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 12:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 12/16 12:19 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/16 10:35 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/16 10:17 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/16 09:24 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/15 11:43 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/15 07:36 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/15 06:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/15 06:15 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 05:13 PM | (Pick) | -- | -- |
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