NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY OKLA
Points 76.6 72.8
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 20.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 15.0
Shooting BAY OKLA
Field Goals Made 26.4 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 53.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 16.4 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 20.4
Free Throw % 73.1% 73.5%
Ball Control BAY OKLA
Rebounds 33.2 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.5
Turnovers 9.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 6.6 5.2
Fouls 16.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY OKLA
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 66.1
% of Possessions with BAY OKLA
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 26.2%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.7%
Turnover 14.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BAY OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 23.9%