NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO IDHO
Points 77.4 69.6
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 25.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 9.9
Shooting UNCO IDHO
Field Goals Made 28.6 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 57.8
Field Goal % 50.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 13.3
Free Throw % 74.6% 74.3%
Ball Control UNCO IDHO
Rebounds 34.0 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 6.2
Turnovers 9.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.9
Steals 6.0 4.9
Fouls 13.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO IDHO
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 65.7
% of Possessions with UNCO IDHO
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 31.9%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.8%
Turnover 13.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO IDHO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 18.2%