NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO WEB
Points 78.0 77.0
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.1 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 25.2
Points From Free Throws 10.3 13.4
Shooting UNCO WEB
Field Goals Made 30.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.3
Field Goal % 53.9% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.0 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 63.0% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 10.3 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 18.2
Free Throw % 74.6% 73.7%
Ball Control UNCO WEB
Rebounds 31.1 29.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 6.6
Turnovers 10.9 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 1.5
Steals 4.7 6.5
Fouls 15.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO WEB
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 68.2
% of Possessions with UNCO WEB
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 30.1%
Player Fouled 18.7% 21.7%
Turnover 15.5% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO WEB
Shot Blocked 2.6% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 20.5%