NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST WSU
Points 62.4 72.5
Total Points   134.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.8 14.7
Shooting ORST WSU
Field Goals Made 22.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 56.3
Field Goal % 41.1% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 13.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 20.8
Free Throw % 73.5% 71.0%
Ball Control ORST WSU
Rebounds 29.4 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 11.2
Turnovers 10.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.7
Steals 4.8 4.6
Fouls 16.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST WSU
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 69.3
% of Possessions with ORST WSU
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 22.6%
Player Fouled 23.9% 23.9%
Turnover 14.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORST WSU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 33.1%