NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST WYO
Points 74.0 70.7
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 22.3
Points From Free Throws 13.1 17.2
Shooting ORST WYO
Field Goals Made 27.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 53.7
Field Goal % 48.9% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 22.8
Free Throw % 73.5% 75.2%
Ball Control ORST WYO
Rebounds 32.9 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.8
Turnovers 10.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.9 1.6
Steals 6.4 4.6
Fouls 18.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST WYO
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 67.0
% of Possessions with ORST WYO
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 26.5%
Turnover 14.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORST WYO
Shot Blocked 3.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 26.3%