NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST ASU
Points 68.7 68.7
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 19.4
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.3
Shooting ORST ASU
Field Goals Made 23.8 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 56.5
Field Goal % 44.6% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.9
Free Throw % 73.5% 65.3%
Ball Control ORST ASU
Rebounds 36.8 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 8.0
Turnovers 13.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 4.9 7.3
Fouls 16.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST ASU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 69.6
% of Possessions with ORST ASU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 27.2%
Player Fouled 23.4% 23.2%
Turnover 18.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORST ASU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.7%