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Oregon St at USC
Thu Jan 28, 2021
5:00pm ET
Los Angeles, CA
Oregon St at USC: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern California by 12.5, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ORST | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-14-1 | 16-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 10-7-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 6-7-1 | 9-9-0 |
Oregon St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Linfield College | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | Troy | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | App State | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Baylor | +16.0 | L by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | UC Davis | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Cal Poly | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | UTSA | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Idaho St | -7.0 | W by 19 | +12.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | UCLA | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | USC | +8.5 | W by 16 | +24.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Wash State | +12.0 | L by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Washington | +12.5 | L by 7 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Stanford | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Utah | +15.0 | L by 27 | -12.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Colorado | +18.0 | L by 33 | -15.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Arizona | +18.5 | W by 3 | +21.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Arizona St | +2.5 | W by 13 | +15.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | UCLA | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | USC | +9.5 | L by 28 | -18.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Wash State | +9.0 | L by 6 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Washington | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Arizona St | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Oregon | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | California | +9.0 | L by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Stanford | +11.0 | W by 12 | +23.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oregon | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Utah | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Colorado | +9.0 | L by 16 | -7.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | UCLA | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -11.5 | L by 10 | -21.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Brown | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Washingtn | -17.5 | W by 28 | +10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Lg Beach St | -14.0 | L by 5 | -19.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Alabama St | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon St | -8.5 | L by 16 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | California | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Stanford | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wash State | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Colorado | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona | +21.0 | L by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona St | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCLA | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon St | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | California | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 31 | -29.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Colorado | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Wash State | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | W by 13 | +20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Washington | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| USC -12.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1485 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern California won the game 1326 times (89.3%).
- The team like Oregon St. won the game 159 times (10.7%).
- The team like Oregon St. did better against the spread, going 743-716-26 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 282 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Oregon St. did better against the spread, going 138-132-12 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.5 | -12.0 | -12.5 |
| Open | -12.5 | -12.5 | -12.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/28 04:59 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:29 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:25 PM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 01/28 03:56 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:53 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:32 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:59 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:26 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:50 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:02 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:59 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:31 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 01/28 10:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 09:41 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 08:38 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 01/28 07:56 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:25 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 01/28 01:04 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 01/27 10:34 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:19 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 01/27 06:29 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
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