NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST USC
Points 67.5 74.6
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.3
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.1
Shooting ORST USC
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 56.6
Field Goal % 42.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 21.7
Free Throw % 73.5% 69.5%
Ball Control ORST USC
Rebounds 32.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.9
Turnovers 12.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.1
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 16.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST USC
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 69.9
% of Possessions with ORST USC
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.2%
Turnover 17.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORST USC
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 29.0%