NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST UTAH
Points 69.9 77.8
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 28.5
Points From Free Throws 12.5 12.0
Shooting ORST UTAH
Field Goals Made 25.5 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 60.0
Field Goal % 42.6% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 18.9
Free Throw % 73.5% 63.4%
Ball Control ORST UTAH
Rebounds 33.9 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 9.6
Turnovers 9.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.3
Steals 5.3 5.1
Fouls 16.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST UTAH
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 71.4
% of Possessions with ORST UTAH
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 31.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 22.6%
Turnover 13.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORST UTAH
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 27.0%