NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST WSU
Points 58.2 75.0
Total Points   133.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 15.2
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.2
Shooting IDST WSU
Field Goals Made 20.6 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 54.1
Field Goal % 37.4% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 13.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.0%
Ball Control IDST WSU
Rebounds 27.1 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.3 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.3
Turnovers 9.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.1
Steals 5.2 4.9
Fouls 15.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST WSU
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 66.8
% of Possessions with IDST WSU
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 52.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 16.7%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.1%
Turnover 13.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST WSU
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 34.9%