NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST WYO
Points 69.5 73.4
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 18.3
Points From Free Throws 11.7 16.6
Shooting IDST WYO
Field Goals Made 25.5 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 51.5
Field Goal % 44.6% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 22.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 75.2%
Ball Control IDST WYO
Rebounds 30.8 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.0
Turnovers 9.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 1.8
Steals 7.0 4.9
Fouls 17.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST WYO
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 64.6
% of Possessions with IDST WYO
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 19.4%
Player Fouled 21.6% 25.6%
Turnover 13.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST WYO
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 27.7%