NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST EWU
Points 70.6 77.3
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 20.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.1
Shooting IDST EWU
Field Goals Made 24.1 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 49.6
Field Goal % 42.1% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 22.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 77.5%
Ball Control IDST EWU
Rebounds 29.6 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 6.6
Turnovers 9.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.5
Steals 6.9 4.9
Fouls 18.2 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST EWU
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 63.1
% of Possessions with IDST EWU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 21.7%
Player Fouled 25.3% 26.2%
Turnover 13.7% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST EWU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 25.8%