NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST KC
Points 66.1 66.8
Total Points   132.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 19.8
Points From Free Throws 17.3 13.3
Shooting IDST KC
Field Goals Made 21.9 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 54.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 17.3 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 18.4
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.1%
Ball Control IDST KC
Rebounds 31.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.9
Turnovers 10.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.9
Steals 6.1 5.4
Fouls 15.3 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST KC
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 65.8
% of Possessions with IDST KC
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 23.8%
Player Fouled 29.0% 22.6%
Turnover 15.8% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST KC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 29.5%