NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST IDHO
Points 69.1 64.4
Total Points   133.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 18.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 10.4
Shooting IDST IDHO
Field Goals Made 24.1 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 52.0
Field Goal % 45.9% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.0 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 14.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 74.3%
Ball Control IDST IDHO
Rebounds 32.7 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.1
Turnovers 9.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.4
Steals 6.7 4.7
Fouls 13.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST IDHO
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 60.2
% of Possessions with IDST IDHO
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 23.2%
Player Fouled 26.3% 20.2%
Turnover 13.7% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST IDHO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 20.6%