NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST PRST
Points 70.2 67.6
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 18.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.4
Shooting IDST PRST
Field Goals Made 24.3 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 55.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 20.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.4%
Ball Control IDST PRST
Rebounds 34.7 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.4
Turnovers 10.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.4
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 15.4 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST PRST
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 68.6
% of Possessions with IDST PRST
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 21.0%
Player Fouled 26.3% 22.2%
Turnover 15.8% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST PRST
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 29.4%