NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST PEPP
Points 68.4 70.9
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 16.1
Points From Free Throws 13.6 13.6
Shooting IDST PEPP
Field Goals Made 24.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 53.5
Field Goal % 45.3% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 13.6 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 19.5
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.8%
Ball Control IDST PEPP
Rebounds 30.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.2
Steals 5.8 4.8
Fouls 16.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST PEPP
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 65.7
% of Possessions with IDST PEPP
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 51.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 17.4%
Player Fouled 23.6% 23.7%
Turnover 14.7% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST PEPP
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 28.7%