NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART BRWN
Points 70.4 70.6
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.9 9.7
Shooting DART BRWN
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 65.3
Field Goal % 39.0% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.4
Free Throw % 74.9% 62.6%
Ball Control DART BRWN
Rebounds 39.9 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.1
Turnovers 10.3 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.8
Steals 4.5 5.8
Fouls 12.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART BRWN
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 74.5
% of Possessions with DART BRWN
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 28.2%
Player Fouled 20.1% 16.7%
Turnover 14.0% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART BRWN
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.6%