NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART COR
Points 62.9 80.7
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 35.4
Points From Free Throws 10.7 10.1
Shooting DART COR
Field Goals Made 22.2 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 60.4
Field Goal % 41.4% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 10.7 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 13.6
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.2%
Ball Control DART COR
Rebounds 32.8 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.2
Turnovers 13.0 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.6
Steals 4.1 8.7
Fouls 12.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART COR
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 68.3
% of Possessions with DART COR
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 41.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 18.0%
Turnover 18.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 12.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART COR
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 22.1%