NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART ME
Points 59.1 65.3
Total Points   124.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 20.6
Points From Free Throws 10.1 9.2
Shooting DART ME
Field Goals Made 21.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 57.4
Field Goal % 42.1% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 10.1 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 12.8
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.4%
Ball Control DART ME
Rebounds 35.5 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 5.6
Turnovers 13.3 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 4.2 8.8
Fouls 12.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART ME
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 60.7 64.7
% of Possessions with DART ME
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 17.9%
Turnover 19.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART ME
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 16.3%