NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART USF
Points 57.6 76.2
Total Points   133.8
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 31.9
Points From Free Throws 10.2 12.5
Shooting DART USF
Field Goals Made 20.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 58.1
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 10.2 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 17.2
Free Throw % 66.3% 72.6%
Ball Control DART USF
Rebounds 33.3 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.3
Turnovers 13.3 7.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.6
Steals 3.5 7.8
Fouls 14.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART USF
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 61.3 68.2
% of Possessions with DART USF
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 34.7%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.0%
Turnover 19.6% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART USF
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 21.5%