NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART HARV
Points 60.6 68.9
Total Points   129.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 25.5
Points From Free Throws 9.1 11.4
Shooting DART HARV
Field Goals Made 21.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 56.9
Field Goal % 39.3% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 9.1 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 16.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 69.8%
Ball Control DART HARV
Rebounds 34.9 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 7.3
Turnovers 11.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.0
Steals 4.3 7.2
Fouls 13.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART HARV
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 66.2
% of Possessions with DART HARV
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 31.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.6%
Turnover 16.8% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART HARV
Shot Blocked 7.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 21.0%