NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART FGCU
Points 60.7 69.5
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.0 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 27.7
Points From Free Throws 9.4 7.6
Shooting DART FGCU
Field Goals Made 21.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 57.9
Field Goal % 41.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 27.8 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 9.4 7.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 11.2
Free Throw % 66.3% 68.1%
Ball Control DART FGCU
Rebounds 32.0 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 7.4
Turnovers 11.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 4.1 7.2
Fouls 11.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART FGCU
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 60.0 64.7
% of Possessions with DART FGCU
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 32.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 17.0%
Turnover 17.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART FGCU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 22.1%