NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART UNH
Points 75.2 67.5
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 23.1
Points From Free Throws 16.0 11.7
Shooting DART UNH
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 61.0
Field Goal % 46.2% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 16.0 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 17.5
Free Throw % 73.5% 67.1%
Ball Control DART UNH
Rebounds 38.0 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.9
Steals 4.2 5.8
Fouls 14.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: New Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART UNH
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 71.2
% of Possessions with DART UNH
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 31.5%
Player Fouled 23.7% 20.4%
Turnover 14.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART UNH
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 22.4%