NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART UNH
Points 78.7 64.8
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 20.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 8.5
Shooting DART UNH
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 63.9
Field Goal % 47.3% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 12.6
Free Throw % 74.9% 67.2%
Ball Control DART UNH
Rebounds 41.1 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.0
Turnovers 11.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.4
Steals 4.4 5.9
Fouls 12.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART UNH
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 71.2
% of Possessions with DART UNH
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 21.1% 16.7%
Turnover 15.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART UNH
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 19.3%