NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR HARV
Points 79.1 70.4
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 15.4
Shooting COR HARV
Field Goals Made 28.5 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 55.9
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 11.6 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 22.0
Free Throw % 74.2% 69.8%
Ball Control COR HARV
Rebounds 36.1 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.0
Turnovers 10.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.3
Steals 7.7 6.1
Fouls 16.5 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR HARV
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 69.6
% of Possessions with COR HARV
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 37.0% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.1% 23.0%
Turnover 14.2% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR HARV
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 28.1%