NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR CAN
Points 81.1 69.8
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 23.2
Points From Free Throws 11.8 9.7
Shooting COR CAN
Field Goals Made 30.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 62.3
Field Goal % 50.8% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 62.5% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 11.8 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 16.2
Free Throw % 74.2% 59.8%
Ball Control COR CAN
Rebounds 33.5 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 14.3
Turnovers 10.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.2
Steals 7.0 5.3
Fouls 13.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR CAN
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 73.6
% of Possessions with COR CAN
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.9%
Turnover 14.3% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR CAN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 35.8%