NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR VT
Points 75.9 81.1
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 26.6
Points From Free Throws 11.6 16.7
Shooting COR VT
Field Goals Made 28.0 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 57.1
Field Goal % 48.5% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 61.6% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 11.6 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 20.9
Free Throw % 74.2% 79.8%
Ball Control COR VT
Rebounds 30.7 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.7
Turnovers 11.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.4
Steals 6.8 5.5
Fouls 17.2 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR VT
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 70.0
% of Possessions with COR VT
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 31.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 24.1%
Turnover 16.2% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR VT
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 27.3%