NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR CLMB
Points 85.1 75.7
Total Points   160.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 27.3
Points From Free Throws 12.1 13.2
Shooting COR CLMB
Field Goals Made 31.3 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 58.5
Field Goal % 52.0% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 69.6% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 12.1 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 18.5
Free Throw % 74.2% 71.3%
Ball Control COR CLMB
Rebounds 33.6 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.9
Turnovers 10.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.0
Steals 7.3 6.5
Fouls 15.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR CLMB
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 70.1
% of Possessions with COR CLMB
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.8% 29.6%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.8%
Turnover 14.9% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR CLMB
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 28.7%