NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR PENN
Points 83.4 75.0
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 29.0
Points From Free Throws 11.5 12.0
Shooting COR PENN
Field Goals Made 30.0 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 60.0
Field Goal % 49.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 27.3 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 66.8% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 11.5 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 17.0
Free Throw % 74.2% 70.2%
Ball Control COR PENN
Rebounds 34.0 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.4
Turnovers 8.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.6
Steals 6.1 5.2
Fouls 14.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: U Penn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR PENN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 70.9
% of Possessions with COR PENN
2 Point Attempt 34.2% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 41.7% 34.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.0%
Turnover 12.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR PENN
Shot Blocked 2.8% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 28.6%