NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR PRIN
Points 78.2 78.0
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 32.5
Points From Free Throws 10.2 14.6
Shooting COR PRIN
Field Goals Made 29.3 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 58.1
Field Goal % 51.2% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 26.7
2 Point Shooting % 68.6% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 10.2 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 18.6
Free Throw % 74.2% 78.3%
Ball Control COR PRIN
Rebounds 33.2 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 7.8
Turnovers 10.4 7.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 1.1
Steals 5.1 5.5
Fouls 16.7 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR PRIN
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 69.4
% of Possessions with COR PRIN
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 34.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.6% 40.2%
Player Fouled 18.0% 24.1%
Turnover 14.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR PRIN
Shot Blocked 1.8% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 22.9%