NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SLU SBON
Points 72.3 81.3
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 27.2
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.3
Shooting SLU SBON
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 57.2
Field Goal % 45.6% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 21.1
Free Throw % 75.1% 77.3%
Ball Control SLU SBON
Rebounds 30.6 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 11.3 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.4
Steals 4.1 6.3
Fouls 14.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SLU SBON
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 70.0
% of Possessions with SLU SBON
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 29.7%
Player Fouled 22.7% 21.6%
Turnover 16.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SLU SBON
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 28.4%