NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SLU BSU
Points 69.9 83.6
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 28.3
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.6
Shooting SLU BSU
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 58.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 23.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 74.3%
Ball Control SLU BSU
Rebounds 28.3 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 11.2
Turnovers 10.9 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 4.4 5.8
Fouls 16.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SLU BSU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 72.7
% of Possessions with SLU BSU
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 31.0%
Player Fouled 23.0% 23.4%
Turnover 15.8% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SLU BSU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 33.6%