NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SLU LAS
Points 78.0 78.2
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 29.5
Points From Free Throws 16.9 12.0
Shooting SLU LAS
Field Goals Made 26.8 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 62.3
Field Goal % 46.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.9 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 16.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.6%
Ball Control SLU LAS
Rebounds 36.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.9
Turnovers 9.2 7.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.7
Steals 4.2 5.7
Fouls 14.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SLU LAS
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 72.1
% of Possessions with SLU LAS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 32.6%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.0%
Turnover 13.0% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SLU LAS
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 24.5%