NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SLU IONA
Points 76.9 75.0
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 28.9
Points From Free Throws 18.0 12.3
Shooting SLU IONA
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 61.1
Field Goal % 51.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 61.1% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.0 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 18.5
Free Throw % 75.1% 66.3%
Ball Control SLU IONA
Rebounds 35.4 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 20.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 9.8
Turnovers 13.2 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 4.6 7.8
Fouls 14.0 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SLU IONA
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 72.1
% of Possessions with SLU IONA
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 33.2%
Player Fouled 25.0% 20.1%
Turnover 18.8% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SLU IONA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 25.9%