NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SLU DAV
Points 71.9 77.0
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 25.0
Points From Free Throws 16.4 15.5
Shooting SLU DAV
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 57.4
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 21.1
Free Throw % 75.1% 73.6%
Ball Control SLU DAV
Rebounds 33.5 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.7
Turnovers 10.8 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.3
Steals 5.3 6.3
Fouls 16.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SLU DAV
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 70.0
% of Possessions with SLU DAV
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 31.8%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.1%
Turnover 15.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SLU DAV
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 25.6%