NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP CIN
Points 69.1 86.2
Total Points   155.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 50.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 25.8
Points From Free Throws 10.2 9.5
Shooting LIP CIN
Field Goals Made 25.4 34.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 67.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 10.2 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 13.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 68.9%
Ball Control LIP CIN
Rebounds 27.1 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 14.4
Turnovers 10.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.0
Steals 5.1 5.2
Fouls 10.6 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cincinnati

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP CIN
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 76.6
% of Possessions with LIP CIN
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 16.4% 14.9%
Turnover 14.3% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP CIN
Shot Blocked 9.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 16.6% 40.5%