NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW MORG
Points 82.0 73.8
Total Points   155.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 11.4
Points From Free Throws 22.0 16.2
Shooting HOW MORG
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 58.0
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 3.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 27.8%
Free Throws Made 22.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.9 21.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.2%
Ball Control HOW MORG
Rebounds 37.2 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.8
Turnovers 12.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.9
Steals 6.0 5.9
Fouls 15.4 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Morgan St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW MORG
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 71.1
% of Possessions with HOW MORG
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 52.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 16.4%
Player Fouled 25.1% 20.9%
Turnover 17.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW MORG
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 37.0% 26.0%