NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU CREI
Points 63.6 91.7
Total Points   155.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 49.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 30.2
Points From Free Throws 6.9 12.4
Shooting NDSU CREI
Field Goals Made 25.4 34.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.6 59.0
Field Goal % 39.3% 58.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 69.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 42.3%
Free Throws Made 6.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 9.3 15.4
Free Throw % 74.1% 80.8%
Ball Control NDSU CREI
Rebounds 27.1 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 6.1
Turnovers 7.8 7.5
Blocked Shots 0.9 4.9
Steals 3.2 3.6
Fouls 13.1 10.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU CREI
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 68.5
% of Possessions with NDSU CREI
2 Point Attempt 60.3% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 31.1%
Player Fouled 14.4% 18.7%
Turnover 11.1% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU CREI
Shot Blocked 8.4% 1.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 23.3%