NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP BEL
Points 77.6 84.3
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 31.5
Points From Free Throws 10.4 10.4
Shooting LIP BEL
Field Goals Made 29.1 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 61.6
Field Goal % 46.9% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 10.4 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 14.2
Free Throw % 77.5% 73.1%
Ball Control LIP BEL
Rebounds 31.4 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 7.4
Turnovers 10.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.2
Steals 5.9 5.7
Fouls 11.8 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP BEL
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 70.1
% of Possessions with LIP BEL
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 32.2%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.1%
Turnover 13.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP BEL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 23.2%