NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW YALE
Points 68.2 80.5
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 22.8
Points From Free Throws 15.1 14.9
Shooting HOW YALE
Field Goals Made 22.6 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.2
Field Goal % 41.8% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.4
Free Throw % 76.0% 69.8%
Ball Control HOW YALE
Rebounds 31.2 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.1
Turnovers 11.8 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.1
Steals 4.4 6.3
Fouls 17.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW YALE
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 69.1
% of Possessions with HOW YALE
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 24.7%
Turnover 17.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW YALE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 26.1%