NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW RMU
Points 76.9 76.3
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 27.4
Points From Free Throws 19.6 13.7
Shooting HOW RMU
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 59.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 19.6 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 19.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 69.8%
Ball Control HOW RMU
Rebounds 34.7 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.4
Turnovers 11.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.6
Steals 5.2 5.0
Fouls 14.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW RMU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 72.0
% of Possessions with HOW RMU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 30.7%
Player Fouled 24.1% 20.6%
Turnover 15.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW RMU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 31.7%