NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU SDAK
Points 71.3 72.0
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.9
Points From Free Throws 15.3 12.7
Shooting NDSU SDAK
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 56.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 15.3 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 16.0
Free Throw % 74.4% 79.5%
Ball Control NDSU SDAK
Rebounds 36.2 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 5.3
Turnovers 9.0 7.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 1.8
Steals 3.2 3.3
Fouls 15.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU SDAK
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 66.4
% of Possessions with NDSU SDAK
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 25.8%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.0%
Turnover 13.1% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU SDAK
Shot Blocked 3.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 16.2%