NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU SDAK
Points 83.1 78.7
Total Points   161.8
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 22.1
Points From Free Throws 12.5 12.1
Shooting NDSU SDAK
Field Goals Made 30.9 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 58.4
Field Goal % 50.7% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 41.8%
Free Throws Made 12.5 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 15.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 76.4%
Ball Control NDSU SDAK
Rebounds 32.0 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 6.8
Turnovers 7.5 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.5 1.6
Steals 4.0 3.0
Fouls 13.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU SDAK
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 68.2
% of Possessions with NDSU SDAK
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 22.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.0%
Turnover 10.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 4.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU SDAK
Shot Blocked 2.8% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 22.0%