NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK HC
Points 72.4 63.2
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 22.4
Points From Free Throws 11.2 9.9
Shooting BUCK HC
Field Goals Made 25.3 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 54.8
Field Goal % 45.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.2% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.2 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 15.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 66.3%
Ball Control BUCK HC
Rebounds 34.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.6
Turnovers 7.5 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.4
Steals 5.6 3.6
Fouls 13.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK HC
Total Possessions 64.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 63.7
% of Possessions with BUCK HC
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.2%
Turnover 11.7% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK HC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.1%