NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP JAC
Points 80.4 73.9
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 21.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.0
Shooting LIP JAC
Field Goals Made 28.8 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 61.8
Field Goal % 51.6% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 15.7
Free Throw % 77.5% 69.8%
Ball Control LIP JAC
Rebounds 29.5 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 13.2
Turnovers 10.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 6.0 5.6
Fouls 11.7 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP JAC
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 72.3
% of Possessions with LIP JAC
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.7% 16.7%
Turnover 14.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP JAC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 36.1%