NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP DUQ
Points 69.4 78.0
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 25.1
Points From Free Throws 11.3 10.5
Shooting LIP DUQ
Field Goals Made 25.4 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 60.5
Field Goal % 44.5% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 11.3 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 14.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 73.4%
Ball Control LIP DUQ
Rebounds 29.4 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 10.1
Turnovers 11.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.4
Steals 5.5 6.1
Fouls 11.8 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP DUQ
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 69.5
% of Possessions with LIP DUQ
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 17.0%
Turnover 15.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP DUQ
Shot Blocked 9.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 30.6%